Global Crisis Monitoring
This chart is using Federal Fund Rate data to know when crisis will accur. As you can see now the chart has shown the beginning of the crisis movement. Back to the history 2009 and 2020 there is a same pattern for early movement. In 2009 the reduction in interest rate started from 2007. It took 2 years. In 2020 the reduction in interest rate begins in 2019 (takes 1 year). What about this year 2025 ? this depens on how quickly The Fed lowers interest rate !
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